Saturday, November 29, 2008

A New Chapter Opens

I have funded my account at Oanda and I'm ready to start trading. I'll be starting with a very small account of $500. If I can trade 3 consecutive months in profit, then I will be adding to the account balance. There is no sense in starting with more capital if I can't first prove my strategy. Out of the gate my plan is as follows:

Starting Balance: $500.00
Broker: Oanda
Monthly Goal: 2 - 3% profit
Currency Pair: I will only be trading EUR\USD pair
Max Risk at any one time: 5%
Lot size: 1 lot = 1000 ($0.10 per pip). I will be trading multiple lots
Strategy: I'll be implementing trades based on whether the market is trending or range-bound. If you are familiar with ForexFactory forums you will notice a similarity to the trend-trading strategy writing up by Jacko. Following are the rules that I have right now for each of those scenarios.

Trending Market:

  • Determine technical and fundamental direction on daily and weekly charts and only trade that direction.
  • Buy/sell when there is a minor retracement. Use support/resistance, pivot points, round numbers and 50% Fibonacci retracement to identify entry points.
  • A hard stop will be used, it will be close to 40% of the daily ATR. The precise placement will be based on trend lines, pivot points, round numbers and 50% Fib lines.
  • If a stop is hit, use the Anti-hedging strategy created by Jacko from FF. Anti-hedging strategy is when a stop is hit and the price goes past your stop by 50+ pips, then re-enter your trade when it comes back to where you got stopped out. You enter in the same direction of your original trade.

Range-bound Market:

  • Identify if it is a range-bound market(I know easier said than done!)
  • Identify range by support/resistance trend lines, pivot points and round numbers
  • Buy/Sell at the high/low of the range if the risk ratio is 1:1.5 or better. If history proves that the win/loss ratio is greating than 55% then the risk ratio can be adjusted down.
The above strategy will be my focus for the next 12+ months and hopefully longer. If you want to take a look at the Jacko strategy here is the link http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=27286

Thursday, November 13, 2008

As the clock turns

Wow, it is amazing how fast time goes by. Now a month later from the previous post. We are in the new house. We have been here a couple weeks and still have a lot of moving and clean-up still to do. You know what that means, no time for trading.

I'm trying to fight the good battle and get back to trading. Right now, my guess is I will be back trading in the next 30 days. I'm figuring out my one trading plan that I will use when I start trading live again. Colin at http://www.forexspirit.com/ has an interesting scalping strategy that might be worth more investigation. I might also review all my old records and see what I can make out of past strategies.

All for now...